Predict the future of gasoline prices.What is the possibility of declining price to the conventional level?

Predict the future of gasoline prices.What is the possibility of declining price to the conventional level?

Gasoline prices soared directly to driver's pocket during the year -end and New Year holiday season. Although the price rise that regular gasoline was approaching 170 yen/L on the national average came here and it has calmed down slightly, there is still no sign of returning to the conventional level, and many people may have a head. What will happen to future gasoline prices? [See enlarged photos] First of all, the current price rise is a major factor in the movement of the speculative muscle, in addition to the increase in actual demand in the recovery from the corona. The background of the maintenance of buying positions seems to be roughly divided into two, and one of the dubbed funds by global monetary easing continues to flow into the market price. The second is expected to continue the hard -line stance of OPEC (Petroleum Export Country Organization), which does not respond to the request to increase production in developed countries. For the former, the start of the US and Europe's interest rate hike is a matter of time, but in the current situation where there are few investment destinations that can be expected to rise further, such as stock prices that have reached the highest ever, continue to the product market. It is expected that the inflow of funds will continue. As for the latter, it is reasonable to have a dark OPEC in the future due to initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, etc., regardless of whether you can make money while you can make money, but it cannot be expected to soften your attitude as soon as possible. In addition, the release of the petroleum stockpiling, which was the trump card of the Biden administration, is now less effective. There is a feeling. It is unlikely that gasoline prices will drop significantly in the short term, such as shale oil, which remains the sequelae of the bubble burst, with the investment of fossil fuels and the waist in the short term. It is a dark expectation, but the landscape changes in the long term. After all, it is essential to significantly reduce fossil fuels to achieve the goal of "2050 greenhouse gas net zero zero", which is listed by the main nations. It is obvious that the world demand will drop dramatically in China, which has a 10 -year delay goal, and one of the steps will need a certain level of crude oil to secure financial income. It seems inevitable that gasoline prices will drop significantly. Is the current soaring gasoline price divided into the last annoying fireworks, which is the light of cars and greening the economy as a whole? When you go out for the time being, it seems wise to try not to step too much on the accelerator.