Trade friction severe?-U.S. -China "mutual dependence" to stop | Political and economic news
[Politics / economy]
トランプ大統領GDP経済産業研究所(RIETI)富士通総研ボーイングエアバス 貿易摩擦深刻化?−米中「相互依存」歯止めに(2017/3/8 05:00)
Does trade friction between the United States and China occur?Since the birth of the US Trump administration, which advocates protectionism, this question is always attached.From the perspective of Trump -style, which does not quit the remarks of incorporated facts, it is undeniable that the possibility of a full -fledged friction and dispute that will take various retaliation measures.However, many Chinese experts say that serious friction can be avoided.GDP (Gross Domestic Production) If the trade relationship between the world's first and second place, the deterioration of both countries may have a significant impact on the world economy.(Oshiro Asagi)
【第1位の相手国】
First, Trump is dissatisfied with nearly half of the US trade deficit over 700 billion (about 80 trillion yen).However, this is a view that focuses only on the trade deficit.In terms of the total trade amount, both the US and China are the first trade partners.Focusing on this point in the report of the Economy, Trade and Industry Research Institute (RIETI), Kishio Seki pointed out that "if a trade war happens, both will be hit big."The fact that it depends on each other is to "stop the friction certainly."
【旅行者200万人】
The point of biased in Trump's point of view is that it focuses only on the trade of things and is ignoring service trade.With more than 2 million Chinese tourists visiting the United States, China has a certain role in a travel department, which accounts for about 30 % of US service exports.Currently, in South Korea and Taiwan, where the relationship with China is deteriorating, Chinese tourists have suddenly decreased and the travel industry is screaming.For the Chinese government, these countermeasures are in hand.The United States may be the same.
Fujitsu Research Institute's researcher Keitaka expects that if the United States has a high tariff of 45 % to Chinese products, the Chinese government will first stop importing aircraft from Boeing.When China's President Xi Jinping visited the United States in 2015, he declared 300 Boeing machines.At that time, Boeing machines were used as a means of building close relationships with the United States, but on the contrary, there is a risk of being used in countermeasures.
【豊富な代替先】
"It may stop importing soybeans and corn from the United States and switch to Brazil and Australia," said Kei.Even with Boeing machines, if you stop importing, European Airbus may increase exports.
The perspective of President Trump is decisively lacking in China that there are alternatives other than the United States.If a serious trade friction occurs in the middle of the United States, it will benefit from Australia and Canada.
(2017/3/8 05:00)
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